In round 6 of the 2022 AFL season, two clubs underlined their credentials, while another is ringing alarm bells.
Here’s what it looked like to gamblers:
Dockers, Saints Underline References
Who predicted Fremantle and St Kilda would go 5-1 to start the season? Few could raise their hands.
Both started their fights in Round 6 as fringe favorites – the Saints $1.75 against GWS and the Dockers $1.78 against Carlton – and both passed with flying colors, posting 17 and 35 points respectively. The wins give them real chances to finish in the Top 4 in the 2022 AFL season. That too was something that few thought possible. Justin Longmuir’s side started the year as $6.50 hope in that market with Palmerbet, and has been trimmed down to $3.10. Meanwhile, the Saints – who have now won five on the bounce for the first time since 2011 – started out even further out at $7.00. After Friday night’s win in Canberra, they are now at $3.30.
If it’s the third year that tells you whether a @AFL senior coach has the goods – when the honeymoon is over and the players have seen his methods – then Justin Longmuir shows that he is a long-term coach. @freodockers are a well thought out unit that is ahead of the budget. #AFLFreoBlues
— Jake Niall (@JakeNiallTHEAGE) Apr 23, 2022
Are the saints dark horse to the flag? pic.twitter.com/RyOqzISqbW
— 7AFL (@7AFL) Apr 22, 2022
What exactly goes wrong at the kennel? Despite making it to the Grand Finals last season, things have picked up speed. And their lackluster start to the year continued into Round 6, losing to Adelaide despite starting strong $1.30 favorites. Very few would have singled out the Crows to take more wins than the Western Bulldogs at this stage of the AFL season. Looking ahead, the Dogs (now 2-4) now face a battle to even make the Top 8. They start the season at $1.22 to make it to the finals for the fourth time in a row, but are now heading for a much shadier $1.72 with Palmerbet.
“I think it’s bigger than what happened in Port Adelaide and what happened in Essendon.”
— Footy on Nine (@FootyonNine) Apr 24, 2022
Top 8 blockage emerges
Already at this early stage of the 2022 season, it is clear that the battle for the ‘remaining’ spots in the AFL Top 8 will be fierce. And the results in round 6 just tried to confirm this. With Melbourne, Brisbane, Sydney and Geelong all saluting clinically, they’ve each been cut to $1.11 or better to make it to the final. For the sake of argument, let’s say they’re locks. From there, though, it’s chock-full of contenders, led by the aforementioned Dockers and Saints. Two losses in their last three have made the Blues cool (from $1.33 to $1.63), while Collingwood arguably now represents a value option at $3.25. Victory in a pulsating Anzac Day clash (after starting $1.55 favorites) asks pundits: Are Craig McRae’s men a true Top 8 hope?
Sitting at 3-3 after today’s win, should finals be on the agenda for the Magpies?
– AFL (@AFL) Apr 25, 2022
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